
Auction channels sold a moderately higher volume of trucks in August 2022 as fleets continued to offload their highest-mileage units and owner-operators shifted back to fleets. Depreciation for trucks with mileage typical for their model year appears to have relaxed this month.
According to J.D. Power Valuation Services, looking at two- to six-year-old trucks, August’s average pricing for the benchmark truck was:
In August, three- to six-year-old trucks averaged 8.0% less money than July, but 3.2% more money than August 2021. Year over year, late-model trucks sold in the first eight months of 2022 averaged 61.0% more money than the same period of 2021. Year to date, three- to six-year-old sleepers have depreciated 6.1% per month on average.
Despite the ongoing market correction, selling prices are still over 45% higher than the last pre-pandemic peak. Demand continues to fall back toward a more rational level, but various tailwinds will support pricing to an extent.
August’s retail environment appears to be similar to July 2022 with few check-writers buying trucks and selling prices being more stable than expected.
The average sleeper tractor retailed in August was 68 months old, had 439,965 miles and brought $107,977. Compared with July, this average sleeper was two months older, had essentially identical miles, and brought $64 (0.1%) less money. Compared with August 2021, this average sleeper was five months newer, had 14,142 (3.1%) fewer miles, and brought $33,484 (44.9%) more money.
Looking at two- to six-year-old trucks, August’s average pricing was as follows:
The sample size of model-year 2021 trucks continues to increase, including a wider range of mileage. As such, going forward, the average price figure for that model year should look more like August and July than earlier months.
Otherwise, three- to five-year-old trucks brought an average of 2.1% less money in August than July. Trucks in this age group brought 68.6% more money in the first eight months of 2022 than the same period of 2021. Depreciation is averaging 1.5% per month in 2022, less than expected by this point in the year, and substantially better than the auction channel. Retail pricing for late-model trucks is still more than 50% higher than the last pre-pandemic peak.